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Red44
37406.7
25065.2
226420.8
Blue86
301819.3
422822.4
9321.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215304060804486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#23
20.81.4
17.518.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
4228
#30
22.43.0
19.822.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3740
#50
6.71.4
4.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
93
#22
21.43.2
17.520.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2506
#49
5.21.4
3.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
3018
#38
19.33.0
10.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End