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Red36
401114.5
38406.8
222021.5
Blue21
9321.4
48186.8
37406.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373202060803621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.0
20.620.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
93
#22
21.40.9
20.719.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4011
#31
14.50.0
9.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
4818
#37
6.80.9
6.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3840
#25
6.80.0
6.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3740
#50
6.70.9
5.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End