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Red22
453915.5
42303.5
181617.6
Blue3
38468.5
226420.8
37885.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39320206080223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#10
17.61.3
16.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2264
#23
20.82.4
12.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4539
#19
15.514.1
22.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3846
#27
8.52.4
11.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4230
#43
3.51.3
11.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3788
#46
5.02.4
8.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End