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Red86
226420.8
252623.1
217722.1
Blue26
253816.5
284510.6
37545.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553302040801001208626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.12.5
17.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
16.50.7
17.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.12.5
15.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
2845
#32
10.60.7
12.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2264
#23
20.82.5
18.921.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
3754
#47
5.60.7
6.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End