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Red63
329410.3
421518.8
388320.3
Blue26
38282.9
270522.4
32125.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45280204060801006326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#12
20.31.5
18.319.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2705
#14
22.40.3
18.718.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.81.5
15.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
3212
#35
5.70.4
7.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3294
#41
10.31.5
9.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3828
#45
2.90.3
4.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End