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Red11
284510.6
47287.9
47035.2
Blue13
418126.2
31229.7
48186.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282601020405060701113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2845
#32
10.61.3
9.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
4181
#15
26.21.2
10.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4728
#34
7.91.3
9.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3122
#17
9.71.2
7.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4703
#33
5.21.3
7.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
4818
#37
6.81.2
9.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End