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Red109
327625.0
453915.5
327726.3
Blue34
405414.4
226420.8
297720.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575920408010010934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#13
26.31.2
23.124.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
20.80.5
21.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3276
#11
25.01.0
22.423.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2264
#23
20.80.5
21.220.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4539
#19
15.51.0
12.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
14.40.5
14.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End