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Red99
205233.0
401114.5
206234.6
Blue82
310216.3
270522.4
252623.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805401001502009982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#16
34.60.5
32.633.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
23.10.5
21.822.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.00.5
31.031.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2705
#14
22.40.5
21.121.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4011
#31
14.50.5
12.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3102
#29
16.30.5
15.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End