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Red0
401114.5
205233.0
206234.6
Blue85
270522.4
252623.1
310216.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82550100150200085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#16
34.61.6
33.131.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
23.10.5
22.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.01.6
31.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2705
#14
22.40.5
21.522.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4011
#31
14.51.6
12.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3102
#29
16.30.5
15.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End