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Red26
214310.4
419821.3
42448.5
Blue13
25329.3
422510.8
26068.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31260204060801001202613

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#16
21.30.4
10.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
4225
#11
10.81.1
9.18.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2143
#23
10.40.4
11.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2532
#32
9.31.1
7.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4244
#34
8.50.4
9.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2606
#33
8.31.1
9.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End