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Red35
249111.7
212910.9
214310.4
Blue93
222522.7
313031.4
384814.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245204060801003593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#29
11.70.3
9.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.7
3130
#13
31.42.3
26.729.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2129
#28
10.90.5
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
22.73.8
12.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2143
#23
10.40.5
10.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
3848
#43
14.03.8
8.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End