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Red40
466318.5
222522.7
372215.7
Blue18
217718.1
42269.0
223916.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2456040801001201404018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.9
10.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2177
#50
18.11.8
22.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4663
#12
18.58.1
18.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2239
#37
16.52.7
14.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3722
#17
15.70.9
9.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4226
#45
9.02.7
13.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End