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Red53
217532.6
372215.7
212910.9
Blue16
247211.4
460715.4
28477.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493702060801001205316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.3
27.928.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
4607
#20
15.41.9
13.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3722
#17
15.70.5
10.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2472
#55
11.41.9
13.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2129
#28
10.90.5
9.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2847
#42
7.61.9
11.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End