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Red6
30236.0
372215.7
25259.6
Blue15
214310.4
46487.8
439711.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3034020406080100120615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3722
#17
15.72.1
10.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
4397
#26
11.01.6
12.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2525
#46
9.62.1
11.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2143
#23
10.41.6
12.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3023
#57
6.02.1
8.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4648
#31
7.81.6
8.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End