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Red50
329011.0
422510.8
329122.4
Blue38
463210.0
384814.0
223916.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242363840444648505038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3291
#15
22.40.7
20.721.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2239
#37
16.50.3
15.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3290
#56
11.00.7
10.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3848
#43
14.00.3
14.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4225
#11
10.80.7
10.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
4632
#25
10.00.3
12.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End