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Red1
384814.0
326112.3
468713.4
Blue95
181622.2
265410.2
388326.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2952020406080100195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3848
#43
14.02.6
10.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
3883
#14
26.32.8
20.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4687
#22
13.46.5
13.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
1816
#39
22.22.8
17.620.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3261
#30
12.32.6
12.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2654
#35
10.23.9
10.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End