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Red63
423918.0
419821.3
363316.3
Blue22
214310.4
265410.2
42269.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53280204060801001201406322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#16
21.31.1
20.321.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
2143
#23
10.40.8
11.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4239
#19
18.01.1
13.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
2654
#35
10.20.8
11.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3633
#24
16.31.1
15.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
4226
#45
9.00.8
9.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End