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Red102
250115.9
270527.7
250237.1
Blue106
282321.2
320213.2
253825.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82500100150102106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.4
35.936.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
2538
#12
25.00.8
23.924.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
27.70.4
26.526.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2823
#25
21.21.2
19.620.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2501
#26
15.90.6
14.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
13.21.2
11.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End