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Red46
28554.8
300724.7
251113.1
Blue22
42777.5
298711.7
466411.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31320204060804622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.3
13.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
2987
#55
11.70.8
11.110.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2511
#30
13.11.3
10.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4664
#54
11.10.8
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2855
#59
4.81.3
7.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
4277
#62
7.50.8
9.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End