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Red31
282321.2
340712.2
329210.5
Blue26
24988.4
37452.2
363016.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32340204060801003126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#25
21.20.1
16.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
3630
#28
16.60.6
17.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3407
#34
12.20.1
8.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2498
#60
8.40.6
7.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3292
#16
10.50.1
6.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
3745
#53
2.20.6
7.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End