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Red28
485010.9
331320.6
420710.0
Blue2
282510.0
34548.3
250011.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2834020406080100282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.1
11.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
11.51.7
6.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4850
#21
10.90.1
7.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2825
#45
10.02.6
15.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4207
#42
10.00.1
9.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3454
#58
8.32.6
10.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End