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Red54
329712.7
25159.1
253825.0
Blue23
340712.2
318416.9
376510.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423002060801001205423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2538
#12
25.00.7
21.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3184
#18
16.90.5
15.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3297
#23
12.71.2
7.88.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3407
#34
12.20.8
8.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2515
#20
9.11.2
11.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3765
#56
10.00.8
8.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End