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Red50
251831.8
300724.7
250812.2
Blue56
329210.5
253825.0
318416.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53470204060801001205056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
23.523.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
2538
#12
25.00.4
22.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
24.70.2
17.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
3184
#18
16.90.4
14.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2508
#27
12.20.2
11.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3292
#16
10.50.7
10.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End