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Red62
22277.5
30816.4
301828.4
Blue53
282321.2
466411.1
218114.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324402060801001201406253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3018
#22
28.41.4
23.324.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
2823
#25
21.20.9
17.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2227
#31
7.52.4
6.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
2181
#13
14.50.9
11.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3081
#29
6.41.4
4.15.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
4664
#54
11.10.9
13.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End