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Red2
24795.2
46267.7
329712.7
Blue4
37452.2
30827.9
245010.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2527040608010012024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#23
12.71.9
7.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2450
#43
10.61.9
10.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4626
#48
7.71.9
10.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3082
#40
7.91.9
11.09.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2479
#49
5.21.9
7.15.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3745
#53
2.21.9
5.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End