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Red37
329210.5
251113.1
30816.4
Blue66
245010.6
250115.9
270527.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29490204060801001203766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2511
#30
13.10.4
13.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
27.71.0
24.925.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3292
#16
10.50.4
12.613.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
2501
#26
15.91.7
11.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3081
#29
6.40.3
5.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
2450
#43
10.61.7
8.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End