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Red60
205242.4
28461.7
318416.9
Blue10
254514.1
251113.1
37452.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622802040801001206010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.2
39.039.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.3
2545
#17
14.12.0
14.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3184
#18
16.90.2
16.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2511
#30
13.12.0
14.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2846
#37
1.70.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3745
#53
2.22.0
5.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End