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Red10
24808.4
45367.9
466411.1
Blue42
30827.9
329712.7
363016.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32350102040506070801042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4664
#54
11.11.8
12.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
3630
#28
16.60.6
15.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2480
#51
8.41.8
10.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
3297
#23
12.70.6
12.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4536
#38
7.91.8
9.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3082
#40
7.90.6
7.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End