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Red101
52542.5
205242.4
324417.1
Blue100
303817.7
310229.9
300724.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10664050150101100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
42.50.0
41.741.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
3102
#11
29.90.5
29.429.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
42.40.0
41.741.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
24.70.7
24.024.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3244
#44
17.10.0
16.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3038
#14
17.70.7
17.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End