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Red2
445511.6
12096.2
21670.6
Blue68
235925.9
24108.8
198220.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30440206080100268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4455
#21
11.62.5
13.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
2359
#29
25.92.1
12.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1209
#54
6.22.5
9.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
1982
#12
20.02.1
16.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2167
#49
0.62.5
10.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
2410
#35
8.82.1
14.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End