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Red51
66216.4
21670.6
198721.2
Blue53
480915.7
299636.3
245112.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433602060801001205153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#22
21.20.8
23.724.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
2996
#14
36.31.3
17.618.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
662
#42
16.40.8
9.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
4809
#28
15.71.3
10.111.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2167
#49
0.60.8
8.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
2451
#45
12.01.3
9.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End