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Red20
245112.0
176418.4
198412.2
Blue31
184711.3
171015.3
235314.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363720253040452031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#26
18.41.3
14.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1710
#25
15.30.5
16.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1984
#36
12.21.3
12.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2353
#13
14.10.5
8.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2451
#45
12.016.5
24.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1847
#41
11.30.5
11.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End