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Red71
198220.0
176418.4
199723.7
Blue115
235925.9
299636.3
162530.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4658020408010012071115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1997
#43
23.71.9
16.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
2996
#14
36.34.9
18.923.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1982
#12
20.01.9
18.320.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
30.84.9
24.329.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1764
#26
18.41.9
13.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
2359
#29
25.94.9
13.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End