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Red35
184711.3
9375.5
480915.7
Blue56
245714.4
28747.7
96732.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28530204060801003556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4809
#28
15.70.3
13.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.8
967
#15
32.60.6
28.729.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1847
#41
11.30.3
11.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2457
#18
14.40.6
13.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
937
#48
5.50.3
7.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2874
#51
7.70.6
7.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End