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Red153
162530.8
177712.8
180643.1
Blue91
184711.3
193941.0
93529.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687720406010012014015391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.16.5
38.444.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
41.01.2
34.035.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
30.87.0
25.732.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
935
#8
29.11.2
29.730.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1777
#46
12.86.5
5.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1847
#41
11.31.2
11.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End