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Red87
299636.3
182530.1
17379.7
Blue117
256012.3
233520.1
177536.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6652020408010012014087117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#14
36.31.8
31.232.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
36.84.9
29.033.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1825
#17
30.11.8
28.229.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
2335
#19
20.14.9
16.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1737
#20
9.71.8
4.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2560
#33
12.34.9
8.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End