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Red109
378417.6
198220.0
177536.8
Blue108
176916.7
96732.6
199723.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6364405060708090100109108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.83.3
33.937.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
967
#15
32.63.2
28.731.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1982
#12
20.03.3
17.420.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1997
#43
23.73.2
20.123.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3784
#24
17.63.3
12.415.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1769
#38
16.73.2
15.618.8
Auto
Teleop
End