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Red4
339714.4
44042.7
415611.8
Blue41
118218.7
423216.4
109422.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215504080100120441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#36
14.41.9
11.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
1094
#11
22.30.7
19.919.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4156
#26
11.81.9
10.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1182
#34
18.70.7
16.415.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4404
#42
2.71.9
4.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
4232
#30
16.40.7
13.612.9
Auto
Teleop
End