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Red44
386213.7
432911.0
297816.4
Blue0
283810.6
388510.0
33306.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3026020406080100120440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2978
#27
16.41.2
9.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2838
#41
10.62.2
10.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3862
#14
13.71.2
8.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
3885
#28
10.02.2
8.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4329
#13
11.01.2
11.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
3330
#21
6.52.2
7.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End