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Red13
11780.3
278316.9
440217.9
Blue22
14443.4
43140.5
435616.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203404060801322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4402
#23
17.90.7
6.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4356
#22
16.80.8
16.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2783
#18
16.90.7
5.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
1444
#15
3.40.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1178
#40
0.30.7
9.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4314
#38
0.50.8
5.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End