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Qual 282013 St. Louis Regional
Red96
170644.8
93113.5
423216.4
Blue108
339714.4
419614.4
128837.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5043020608010012014096108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#2
44.83.9
24.0→27.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.3
1288
#1
37.55.3
20.8→26.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4232
#30
16.43.9
12.9→16.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
4196
#29
14.45.3
13.0→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
931
#32
13.53.9
12.0→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
3397
#36
14.45.3
10.4→15.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—