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Qual 312013 St. Louis Regional
Red123
278316.9
379218.4
170644.8
Blue23
283810.6
341128.3
423216.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444520608010012012323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#2
44.86.6
27.9→34.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.5
3411
#5
28.31.8
20.6→18.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3792
#17
18.46.6
11.8→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
4232
#30
16.41.8
16.8→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2783
#18
16.96.6
4.6→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
2838
#41
10.61.8
7.6→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—