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Red2
46005.9
41876.3
415611.8
Blue43
432911.0
128837.5
379218.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29440206080100120243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4156
#26
11.82.4
10.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.7
37.50.1
15.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4187
#35
6.32.4
10.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
3792
#17
18.40.1
13.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4600
#37
5.91.2
5.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
4329
#13
11.00.1
12.412.5
Auto
Teleop
End