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Red1
46005.9
42318.0
29020.9
Blue50
283810.6
386213.7
415611.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14270102040506070150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4231
#31
8.01.3
6.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
3862
#14
13.72.1
10.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4600
#37
5.91.3
3.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
4156
#26
11.82.1
8.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2902
#43
0.91.3
5.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
2838
#41
10.62.1
5.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End