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Qual 472013 St. Louis Regional
Red49
379218.4
328427.2
46005.9
Blue6
43140.5
11780.3
339714.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4727020406080100496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#8
27.20.5
22.5→22.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
3397
#36
14.42.0
18.9→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3792
#17
18.40.5
18.4→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.9
4314
#38
0.52.0
3.3→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4600
#37
5.90.5
2.7→3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
1178
#40
0.32.0
7.7→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—