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Red18
424618.5
11780.3
93113.5
Blue8
44042.7
33306.5
41546.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442206080100120140188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4246
#25
18.51.9
12.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
3330
#21
6.51.5
9.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
931
#32
13.51.9
15.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
4154
#39
6.41.5
9.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1178
#40
0.31.9
11.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4404
#42
2.71.5
6.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End