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Qual 782013 St. Louis Regional
Red73
120835.4
41876.3
278316.9
Blue23
297816.4
29020.9
379218.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55300204060801001207323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#16
35.41.5
32.8→34.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.0
3792
#17
18.40.7
18.3→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2783
#18
16.91.4
14.8→16.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
2978
#27
16.40.7
15.8→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4187
#35
6.31.4
3.1→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
2902
#43
0.90.7
-0.3→-1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—