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Red140
272956.5
164036.6
259060.5
Blue134
140341.8
1155.8
137037.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159131100150200250140134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.2
60.860.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
11
#9
55.80.0
55.855.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
56.50.2
56.856.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
1403
#21
41.80.0
41.841.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#26
36.60.2
36.936.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1370
#15
37.70.0
37.737.7
Auto
Teleop
End