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Red140
108940.4
48625.3
121853.6
Blue126
260740.6
122841.7
140341.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311950150200140126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
53.62.2
42.744.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
1403
#21
41.80.6
35.435.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1089
#12
40.42.2
26.428.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1228
#19
41.70.6
39.840.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
486
#35
25.32.2
27.830.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
2607
#34
40.60.6
39.640.1
Auto
Teleop
End