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Red124
139129.6
22432.9
19341.2
Blue116
428543.6
5643.6
255931.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81106050150200124116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#2
41.21.9
30.932.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
56
#16
43.60.7
41.241.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
#11
32.91.9
22.924.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
4285
#20
43.60.7
36.937.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1391
#30
29.61.9
31.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2559
#31
31.70.7
24.224.9
Auto
Teleop
End